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Money Times Talk

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June 09, 2025

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As per astrology view, some important turning dates are 9, 12,16, 19, 23, 26th June 2025.
ALERT: As per market grapevine, several SME stocks are witnessing pump & dump activity by promoters/operators following superb results and overly optimistic investor presentations. A glaring example is BSE SME Jayant Infratech, which announced stellar H2 & FY25 results on 31st May. The stock hit upper circuits on 2nd–3rd June with low volumes while promoter Daksha Jobanputra offloaded 2,86,500 shares on 3rd June at an ETP of Rs. 93.83 and 1,71,000 shares on 4th June at an ETP of Rs. 86.55 totaling 4,57,500 shares. By 6th June, the stock fell to Rs. 83.42 in the lower circuit. Adding to concerns, the company’s listed contact numbers are reportedly non-functional. Market veterans warn that similar patterns are visible across many SME counters, and urge SEBI/BSE to take strict action.
Fitch Ratings warns that 50% US tariffs on steel and aluminium may widen regional disparities.
Citigroup now expects the Fed’s first rate cut in September instead of July.
Big comments from FADA President: India's Automotive Plants Risk Closure By Late June Due To China's Export Curbs On Rare Earth Magnets, Warns Fada President Cs Vigneshwar.
Trump slams Fed’s inaction, says Europe has cut rates 10 times while the US has done none; urges a full-point cut as ‘rocket fuel’ for the economy.
Successful trading is less about predictions and more about discipline, risk control and sticking to your strategy—stay connected with genuinely knowledgeable investors; as per market veterans, in the stock market your network is your true net worth.
When Nifty crosses 25,000 – Know your company before investing, investors must stay alert and watch for these red flags to protect their wealth: High Inventories Growth – Inventories rising faster than sales for 3+ years signals trouble. Promoter Behaviour – Promoters selling shares post rights issue meant to reduce debt is a red flag. Losses with Rising Promoter Salaries – Continuous losses while promoter pay grows is concerning. Spike in Payables Without Sales Growth – Could indicate artificial cash flow management. Negative Cash Flow with Dividend Payments – Paying dividends despite negative CFO for 3 years is risky. Rising Promoter Pledges – Especially without sales/profit growth, signals stress. Pledges for Personal Use – Promoter pledges for personal needs is a serious concern. Frequent CFO/Auditor Changes – Signals possible internal instability or governance issues. Flashy Annual Reports – Excessive images and design may distract from poor fundamentals. Overconfident Guidance in Unpredictable Businesses – Unrealistic projections in uncertain sectors are a clear red flag.
As per market grapevine, Nifty may swing between 23,700–26,000 in June, as street sentiment now expects sharp 1,000–1,200-point moves. Despite FPIs shorting over 1 lakh contracts and HNIs building 3 mn shorts from Gift City alone, the trend depends on flows, not fundamentals. Chartists are eyeing 23,700, and if it comes, HNIs may exit flat. However, seasoned investors are avoiding shorts and prefer accumulating quality stocks trading below fair value, ready to buy the dips.
Very Important: As per market grapevine, investors are disappointed with BSE’s slow website performance—data loads slowly, and Q4 results are still not uploaded despite the 31st May deadline. BSE must urgently upgrade bandwidth and resolve tech issues; users facing issues can contact the Web Manager at 022-22728358/8594/8973/8249.
Alert: Fake WhatsApp groups are trapping investors by showing fake profits but blocking withdrawals—many have lost Rs. 30–40 lakh to Rs. 10–15 cr. This is pure greed-driven fraud; those chasing shortcuts are likely to get trapped sooner or later. Stay away from such schemes.
Law of Averaging Out – Key Points to Remember: 1. Avoid averaging weak trading stocks—doing so only worsens the fall. As they say, if you're sinking, stop digging. 2. Average only in fundamentally strong stocks (preferably mid/large caps) if you plan to stay invested long term to reduce acquisition cost. 3. Average on trend reversal, not just a fall—wait for 1–3% upward move with strong volume after a bottom formation. 4. Temporary bad news causing sharp drops often presents solid averaging opportunities if fundamentals are intact. 5. When applied right, averaging is a good long-term hedge against losses if you’re willing to hold quality companies. 6. Traders must avoid averaging; instead, use stop loss and move on—follow LG (Let Go). 7. Investors with limited capital should be cautious—averaging can trap all funds into a few stocks. 8. Falling prices don’t always mean value and rising prices don’t always mean overvaluation. Fundamentals matter, not stories.
Since 1979, Sensex has delivered an average return of 15% over 46 years, with 76% positive years. In the last 14 years, only 2 were negative, and the past 9 years saw no negative returns. Staying invested and picking the right stocks pays off.
As per market grapevine, US markets face a key test around 20th June, which will likely decide near-term trends. Expect volatility in Nifty around its 26th June expiry.
As per market grapevine, many FPIs and big players are raising funds for high-speed algorithm trading, promising 30% returns—much higher than the usual 10-20% from DIIs.
2016 was a strong IPO year: DixionTech rose from Rs.1766 to Rs.73,460, CDSL from Rs.149 to Rs.3060, Dmart from Rs.299 to Rs.4002, BSE from Rs.806 to Rs.16,066, and Cochin Shipyard from Rs.432 to Rs.3894 (all adjusted for bonus and dividends).
Warren Buffett: "If I knew every decision I [made] was going to be perfect, it would not be as much fun. Mistakes are part of the game. We've made plenty of mistakes in business — and we'll make plenty more." "If you take big swings, you're gonna miss sometimes."
Data to note: Every 10 years, Nifty roughly matches Sensex’s rise: in 2004 Nifty was ~2000 vs Sensex 6500; 2014 Nifty 6500 vs Sensex 22000; 2024 Nifty 22000 vs Sensex 72000.
Alert: FNO/option trading is highly risky. As per market grapevine, Kota ICICI Bank manager Sakshi Gupta misused Rs.4.58 cr. from 110 accounts, including her father’s Rs.40 lakh, losing it in the market. She was arrested after blocking alerts by changing customers’ numbers.
Alert: Avoid SME stocks that show strong results but whose prices fail to rise or fall, as per market grapevine, operators and HNIs often pump and dump, trapping retail investors.

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