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February 17, 2025
- MSCI February Index Review
- As per @VivekIyer72
- MSCI India - Standard Index
- Inclusions - Hyundai India
- Exclusions - Adani Green Energy
- Indusind Bank to see weight increase of $258 m (est. As per IIFL Capital (Alt Desk)
- 19 Additions & 19 deletions from MSCI India smallcap Index
- MSCI Small Cap Index
- 19 Additions
- AFCONS INFR, AKUMS DRUGS
- ALLIED BLENDERS, ASK AUTO
- BLACK BOX, CARTRADE TECH
- E2E NETWORKS, GREAVES COTTON
- JYOTI CNC, KOVAI MED, MANORAMA
- OLA ELECTRIC, PEARL GLOBAL, SHAILY ENG
- SUNDARAM CLAYTON, TBO TEK, V2 RETAIL
- WEBSOL ENERGY & ZAGGLE PREPAID
- MSCI Small Cap Index
- 19 Deletions
- ADVANCED ENZYME, BAJAJ HIND
- BALMER LAWRIE, BHARAT BIJLEE, DB CORP
- DCB BK, FINEOTEX, JAI CORP
- JAMNA AUTO, LA OPALA, MAGELLANIC CLOUD
- MAHINDRA LOGISTICS, SANGHVI MOVERS
- SHIVALIK BIMETAL, SPANDANA SPHOORTY
- SULA VINEYARDS; SPARC
- VST IND & WEST COAST
- Can the Nifty Rebound till 23500-23800 from Oversold region, or will it break 22600 and test 22000 once again ??
- Check out the Market Outlook shared with Economic Times for the coming week
- 1) How key Indices - Nifty, Sensex & Bank Nifty would be behaving in the coming week ?
- 2) View on Key Largecap Private Bank;
- 3) View on Mid-cap and Small-Cap Indices;
- 4) Approach to markets during such periods of consolidation & FII selling;
- 5) Global factors affecting the Indian markets;
- 6) Expectations on Outperforming and Underperforming Sectors in the coming sessions.
- https://x.com/Sudeep_Shah/status/1891035648015954110?t=l-wMO14wCQX21nuUWRB2wg&s=19
- Friends,
- Do Like, Share & Repost if you like the Inputs !!
- Markets just had their Worst Week in 2 Months!
- Nifty slumped 2.68%, small-caps crashed nearly 10%, and volatility is rising fast!
- Are you prepared for what’s next? Check out our latest market report now
- https://blog.liquide.life/weekly-market-recap-nifty-falls-volatility-spike/
- Fund Houses Recommendations
- HSBC on SBI Cards: Upgrade to Buy on Company, raise target price at Rs 1000/Sh (Positive)
- HSBC on GPPL: Upgrade to Hold on Company, raise target price at Rs 150/Sh (Positive)
- GS on M&M: Maintain Buy on Company, target price at Rs 3800/Sh (Positive)
- Nomuraon M&M: Maintain Buy on Company, target price at Rs 3681/Sh (Positive)
- CLSA on Hindalco: Maintain Outperform on Company, raise target price at Rs 815/Sh (Positive)
- Jefferieson Reliance Ind: Maintain Buy on Company, target price at Rs 1660/Sh (Positive)
- Jefferies on Afcons: Maintain Buy on Company, target price at Rs 580/Sh (Positive)
- Investecon Afcons: Maintain Buy on Company, target price at Rs 630/Sh (Positive)
- CLSA on Manappuram: Maintain Outperform on Company, target price at Rs 225/Sh (Positive)
- CLSA on Indusind Bank: Maintain Outperformon Bank, target price at Rs 1300/Sh (Positive)
- CLSA on Bandhan Bank: Maintain Outperform on Bank, target price at Rs 220/Sh (Positive)
- Citi on IGL: Maintain Buy on Company, target price at Rs 250/Sh (Positive)
- Citi on Indus towers: Maintain Buy on Company,target price at Rs 490/Sh (Positive)
- Citi on PI Ind: Maintain Buy on Company, target price at Rs 4400/Sh (Positive)
- Citi on ICICI Bank: Maintain Buy on Bank, targetprice at Rs 1600/Sh (Positive)
- MS on Deepak NTR: Maintain Overweight on Company, target price at Rs 3000/Sh (Positive)
- HSBCon Pharma: Concerns on US tariffs appear overdone. Await specifics for India pharma industry, but think reciprocal tariffs by US are unlikely (Positive)
- BofA on Motherson: Maintain Buy onCompany, target price at Rs 160/Sh (Neutral)
- Jefferies on Motherson: Maintain Buy on Company, cut target price at Rs 165/Sh (Neutral)
- Money, Markets & Investing Wisdom
- Checkout our latest podcast with Lalit Kumar Rathi:
- https://youtu.be/a2y200_M5gk
- Video Includes:
- Financial Planning for Young Investors
- Importance of Money in Life
- Does DIY Investing Actually Work?
- Recent Market Correction: Endgame or a Buying Opportunity?
- Don't forget to Like, Comment & Subscribe for more such content!
- https://youtu.be/a2y200_M5gk?si=JESfQKNZefwPgxie
- JPMorgan on Motherson: Maintain Overweight on Company, cut target price at Rs 160/Sh (Neutral)
- Nomura on Glenmark: Maintain Neutral on Company, target price at Rs 1500/Sh (Neutral)
- Citi on Concord: Maintain Neutral onCompany, target price at Rs 1880/Sh (Neutral)
- Jefferies on Amber Ent: Maintain Buy on Company, target price at Rs 8845/Sh (Neutral)
- Beat The Street Bulletin
- Date: 17-Feb-2025
- TG: https://t.me/BeatTheStreet10
- Order Wins
- - BHEL: Wins a ₹6,700 crore order from Singareni Collieries Company Limited (SCCL) for the EPC package of the 1x800 MW Singareni Stage-II project, with completion expected within 48 months.
- - EMS: Receives a Letter of Award from Jaypee Infratech Limited for civil, structural, finishing, and MEP works at the "ORCHARDS" multi-storeyed group housing project at Jaypee Wish Town, Noida, Uttar Pradesh. The contract is valued at ₹272.89 crore and is expected to complete within 24 months.
- - Zaggle Prepaid: Enters into an agreement with Khrone Marshal Pvt Ltd to provide the Zaggle Propel reward platform.
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- Appointments & Resignations
- - Gujarat Narmada: Appoints T Natarajan as Managing Director (effective February 5, 2025) and Pankaj Joshi as Director & Chairman (effective February 6, 2025).
- - AGS Transact: Key resignations effective February 14, 2025, include:
- - Mr. Sivanandhan Dhanushkodi (Independent Director)
- - Mrs. Jhuma Guha (Independent Director)
- - Ms. Sneha Kadam (Company Secretary & Compliance Officer)
- - Mr. Shailesh Shetty (Managing Director, SVIL)
- - Kamdhenu Ventures: Shri Ashim Ranjan Banerjee, VP – R&D, resigns due to health issues, effective February 28, 2025.
- - Calcom Vision: Promotes Mr. Debasish Mukherjee from COO to CEO, effective April 01, 2025.
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- Financials & Investments
- - BSNL: Reports ₹262 crore profit in Q3, marking its first profit since 2007.
- - ADF Foods: Approves an additional investment of up to USD 2.5 million in its UK subsidiary, ADF Foods (UK) Limited, via Optionally Convertible Preference Shares (OCPS).
- - Reliance Industries: Completes acquisition of a 100% equity stake in Lakadia Power Transmission Ltd (LPTL) for ₹6.73 crore, making LPTL a wholly owned subsidiary.
- - UFlex: Approves setting up a ₹317 crore recycling unit in Noida for PET bottles and mixed plastics, while also planning a new manufacturing plant in Mexico with an investment of USD 50 million.
- - Remedium Lifecare: Secures a multi-year supply contract with a UK pharma distributor for APIs, intermediates, and specialty chemicals valued at ₹182.7 crore.
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- Partnerships & MoUs
- - MRPL: Signs a tripartite MoU with ONGC and SOCAR to strengthen energy cooperation at India Energy Week 2025.
- - L&T & Rafael Advanced Defense Systems: Announce a MoU during Aero India 2025 for the offering of the TROPHY Active Protection System (APS) indigenously.
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- Acquisitions & Sales
- - Zen Technologies: Acquires Applied Research International (ARI) and ARI Labs for ₹130 crore to enhance its defense simulation capabilities.
- - Kitex: Announces demerger of its Textile Business Division into Kitex Garments Ltd. (KGL), with a share swap ratio of 9,706 shares of KGL for every 100 KCL shares on the record date.
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- Regulatory Updates
- - AGS Transact: Faces liquidity issues, approaches lenders for loan restructuring, and experiences adverse opinions from auditors.
- - Bank of Maharashtra: Receives RBI approval for its first international branch at GIFT City IFSC.
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- Miscellaneous
- - Fisher Medical: Incorporates “Nanyang Biologics (India) Private Limited” to manufacture and distribute nutraceuticals and health-related products.
- - Prakash Industries: Starts coal extraction from its Bhaskarpara Commercial Coal Mine, aiming for cost reductions and improved efficiencies in its integrated steel plant.
- - ThaaI Casting: Holds a groundbreaking ceremony for a new manufacturing unit at SIPCOT Industrial Park, Tamil Nadu.
- - PCBL: Strengthens its Specialty portfolio and signs a technology transfer agreement with Ningxia Jinhua to set up its first Acetylene Black plant in India.
- Stay Updated with Beat The Street
- Battle for brand by brothers Lodha https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/specials/corporate-file/battle-for-brand-by-brothers-lodha/article69226636.ece
- Guidance:
- Revenue Growth (FY25): Approximately 30%.
- EBITDA Margin (FY25): 12-12.5%.
- AT Margin (FY25): 5.9-6%.
- Order Intake (FY25): 7,000-7,500 crore.
- Order Book (End of FY25): Approximately 16,500 crore.
- EBITDA Margin(International orders): 12.5% to 13.5%
- EBITDA Margin(Domestic orders): 10.5% to 11%
- FY26 growth: 25 to 30% top line growth.
- Stock Name : Transrail Lighting Ltd
- Guidance:
- Edible Oil: Expect to maintain around a 4% EBITDA margin. Expect to maintain roughly 10% market share.
- Home and Personal Care (HPC): Projected revenue of approximately 900 crore for the current fiscal year (for 5 months of operation).
- Projected revenue of 3,000 to 3,200 crore for the next fiscal year. Expect margins to improve to 18% in the next quarter.
- Non-Oil Business: Target of reaching 50% of revenue from non-edible oil products within four years.
- Projecting to end the current fiscal year with a 10% margin in the food sector.
- Stock Name : Patanjali Foods Ltd
- Guidance:
- Expectation of Increased Global Orders: The management expressed hopefulness about expanding order inflow from international regions, suggesting potential future growth.
- Continued Focus on Domestic Projects: They indicate they will continue to work on multiple domestic projects.
- Continued focus on operational efficiencies: They have, and will continue to work on operational efficiencies to improve margins.
- Stock Name : Engineers India Ltd
- Guidance:
- ARPOB: Expect ARPOB to be sustainable above 60,000 rupees. Anticipate 4-5% growth in ARPOB going forward.
- Apollo Health and Lifestyle: Break-even at the net level expected by Q1 FY26. Target sustainable margins of 15%.
- Apollo HealthCo: Expect margins to reach 7% in three years.
- Apollo 24x7: GMV to reach 3 to 3500 crore.
- Corporate Restructuring: Integration to be completed in three years.
- Apollo 24x7: Emphasis on profitability over excessive growth.
- Stock Name : Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd
- Guidance:
- Q4 Growth: The company expects low double-digit revenue growth in Q4.
- Receivable Days: Receivable days are expected to return to the 40-45 day range.
- Future Inorganic Growth: The company plans to continue to make inorganic growth moves in sectors that they are currently not operating in.
- Quick Commerce Growth: The quick commerce sector is expected to grow exponentially, but the exact amount is unknown.
- Q1 growth: Q1 growth should be lower double digit growth.
- F26 margin range: The commentary mentions margin guidance for F26, but the actual numbers were not provided in the transcript.
- Stock Name : Rashi Peripherals Ltd
- MOTILAL OSWAL ON Q3 RESULT SEASON
- Modest Growth: Nifty-50 up 5% YoY, single-digit PAT growth for the 3rd straight quarter. MOFSL Universe earnings +6% YoY (vs. est. +7%).
- Downgrades: Worst downgrade ratio since Q1FY21 (0.3x). 44% of companies missed estimates, 28% beat.
- Slowing PAT Growth: Nifty-50 PAT up 4% in 9MFY25 (vs. 20%+ CAGR FY20-24). FY26 EPS cut by 1.4%, FY27E by 1.8%.
- Valuations: Nifty trades at 19.3x forward P/E (below LPA of 20.5x). FY27E P/E at 16.7x vs. peak of 19.1x.
- MORGAN STANLEY ON M&M
- Maintain Overweight with TP of Rs 3675
- 30,179 BEV Bookings – Almost USD1bn Orderbook; an impressive start
- Mix was a positive surprise: XEV 9e received 56% of bookings while Pack 3 variant accounted for 73% of bookings
- M&M likely to be fastest growing PV play in 2025
- NOMURA ON GLENMARK PHARMA
- Nomura sees downside risk to Glenmark Pharma Guidance
- Management had earier guided for FY25 revenues of INR135-140bn.
- This now translates into 4QFY25 revenues of INR34.3- 39.3 bn, implying 12%-28% share of FY25E revenues.
- This implies that in FY25F, the company is likely to deliver at the low end of the guidance or marginally below that.
- On EBITDA margin, the FY25 guidance of 19% implies 21.5-22.0% EBITDA margin in 4QFY25, vs 9MFY25 EBITDA margin of 18%. Hence, we expect downside risk to the stated guidance
- CITI ON ICICI BANK
- Maintain Buy, target price ₹1,600
- Focus on profitable, risk adjusted growth, unsecured segments to gather pace gradually
- No unusual stress in any segments
- Corporate, SME, secured retail resilient
- Sees room for cost efficiency
- JEFFERIES ON AMBER ENTERPRISES
- Maintain Buy, TP 8845
- Domestic AC industry could grow +30% YoY
- Led by strong Q1 summer and channel filing in Q2,Q3
- Electronics business-imposition of anti-dumping duty in PCBs led to new customers
- Mobile growth impacted due to order delays
- FY24-27 Expect margin accretive components CAGR-35% o to outpace AC-22%
- RoCE could notably rise post normalized capex
- JEFFERIES ON SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON
- Maintain Buy, TP at 165 (185)
- EBIDTA margins comes above estimates
- Global auto environment remains challenging
- Co is expanding its exposure to non-auto segments such electronics and space
- Finding inorganic opportunities at attractive caluations
- Cut FY25 EPS by 9%
- CITI ON ICICI BANK
- Maintain Buy, TP 1600
- Focus on profitable, risk adjusted growth, unsecured segments to gather pace gradually
- Home loan rate to reset over a quarterm business banking immediately
- No unusual stress in any segments
- Corporate, SME, secured retail resilient
- Sees room for cost efficiency
- CITI ON PI INDUSTRIES
- Maintain Buy, TP 4400
- Should deliver single digit growth in agrichemical export biz
- Has commercialized 25 new molecules over last 3-4 years
- Global destocking is nearing completion
- Working on 3 new projects for long-term revenue in Pharma CDRMO segment
- CITI ON INDUS TOWERS
- Maintain Buy, TP 490
- Growth outlook for next 1-2 years is positive
- Driven by new rollouts by Vodafone Idea, Bharti Airtel
- FY26 Tenancy growth at 15% post-acquisition of 16k towers
- Strong FCF generation should enable dividends to be paid out in Q4
- EV charging would be large annuity B2B model
- CITI ON IGL
- Maintain Buy, TP 250
- Volume and margin guidance reiterated
- Expect CNG price hike in Delhi in coming weeks
- Post APM cut allocation gas supply mix is now comfortable
- Doesn't foresee a significant threat from EVs give n weak economics
- CLSA ON INDIA MICROFINANCE
- IndusInd Bank-Maintain Outperform-TP 1300
- Bandhan Bank-Maintain Outperform-TP 220
- Bandhan Bank and IndusInd Bank stress lower than peers
- Overall 7-8% hit taken in the book in this cycle
- Gross slippage ratio meaningfully lower for both
- Credit costs could be higher for another one to two quarters before normalizing
- Eventual write off for other players likely to be larger given collection efficiency and slippages trends