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October 06, 2025
- Daily Morning Report Date: 06.10.2025
- NIFTY OUTLOOK: 24894.25 FII -1583.37 cr DII 489.76 cr
- (6th – 10th October 2025)
- As discussed in the previous report dated 29th September 2025, market behaviour remained on expected lines during the week. Nifty began the week with a bearish tone but buyers regained control in the second half, taking it up to the resistance of 24913, making a high of 24904.80.
- A small bullish candle with a lower shadow following a long bearish candle on the weekly chart indicates weakening selling momentum and buyers emerging from support levels. This shift has turned short-term sentiment bullish. If Nifty breaks out decisively above 25017, it may rally to 25140–25275, with stronger demand possibly extending gains to 25384.
- On the downside, support lies at 24771–24650. A break below these levels may drag Nifty down to 24527–24404.
- Bank Nifty OUTLOOK:
- SPOT: 55589.25 PCR: 1.12 Max CE OI: 57000 Max PE OI: 55000
- On October 3rd, 2025, the Bank Nifty index closed at 55589.25 (+241.30 / +0.44%). The total movement in the index was 439.45 points during the session. It made a high of 55616.45 and a low of 55177.00.
- Technical View:
- Important support and resistance levels for Bank Nifty are 55200 and 55970 respectively.
- Intraday support and resistance are 55468 and 55710 respectively.
- Today’s Intraday Technical Strategy:
- Go long above 55710 with a stop loss of 55669 and target 55830.
- Go short below 55468 with a stop loss of 55508 and target 55347.
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the Bank Nifty stands at 58.10. Below 30 is considered oversold, and above 70 is overbought.
- Bank nifty Day SMA Analysis:
- Bank nifty is trading above 7 out of 8 SMA’s (5, 10, 20, 30, 50, 150, 200 Day).
- Bank nifty is trading below 1 out of 8 SMA’s. (100, Day)
- One bullish candlestick Pattern was identified in bank nifty.
- • Marubozu Uptrend
- Macros:
- 1. Dollar index is @ 97.70
- 2. S&P 500 vix is @ 16.65
- 3. Brent crude is @ 65.44
- 4. US 10 years bond yield is @ 4.147
- Note: UK PM Starmer will visit India on 8th–9th October, as confirmed by the Indian Foreign Ministry. Britain and India signed a free trade agreement in July during PM Modi’s visit, finalising a deal to cut tariffs on goods ranging from textiles to whisky and cars, and providing greater market access for businesses.
- On the commodities front, gold and silver once again hit all-time highs, while crude prices inched higher after OPEC announced lower-than-expected output.
- All data remain stable; however, FIIs continue to stay in selling mode, though their pace has moderated.
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- Contributed by
- Ashok bhandari : INH000019549
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- NYKAA Q2 BIZ ; Nykaa Reports Strong Q2 FY26 Momentum; GMV Growth Nearing 30% Driven by Beauty & Fashion
- Robust Growth: Consolidated GMV growth expected close to 30% YoY, led by strong traction in Beauty and Fashion verticals.
- Beauty Vertical: Continues strong double-digit growth with support from brands like Dot & Key, Kay Beauty, and Nykaa Cosmetics.
- Fashion Vertical: NSV growth in higher mid-20s, net revenue growth improving to low 20s on better brand assortment and customer acquisition.
- Overall Revenue: Consolidated net revenue growth projected in mid-20s, marking over 10 consecutive quarters of sustained growth.
- Festive Boost: Early festive season start aiding Q2 performance; government’s GST reforms expected to further support discretionary demand.
- TechEra Engineering ; Co Wins ₹4.66 Crore Order from PSU for Aviation MRO Equipment Supply
- Order Value: ₹4.66 crore (including taxes) from a renowned PSU for supply of MRO-related ground support & maintenance equipment for aviation applications.
- Execution Period: 60 days — short-cycle commercial order, quick revenue realization.
- Domestic Order: Strengthens company’s presence in India’s aviation & defence-support ecosystem.
- Management View: CMD Nimesh Desai said the order validates TechEra’s technical capabilities and will reinforce its position as a reliable partner to PSUs.
- Outlook: Company reported strong H1 FY26 performance with higher margins and better execution efficiency.
- HCL Infosystems : Co Wins Arbitration Case Against UIDAI Worth ₹102.81 Crore
- Arbitration Award: HCL Infosystems received final order granting ₹102.81 crore (plus 10% annual interest) in its favour from UIDAI.
- Dispute Background: Case related to recovery of dues for MSP services provided between Aug 2019 – Aug 2021.
- UIDAI Counterclaim: UIDAI’s ₹72.71 crore counterclaim fully disallowed by the arbitrator.
- Financial Impact: Positive inflow expected once recovered; strengthens liquidity and balance sheet.
- Impact: Positive — boosts cash position, morale, and legal credibility of the company.
- UTKARSH SFB Q2 BIZ UPDATE
- Gross Loan Portfolio: ₹18,655 Cr, down 2.3% YoY and 3% QoQ due to JLG contraction.
- JLG Loan Portfolio: Fell 28.4% YoY to ₹7,613 Cr — decline in microfinance lending.
- Non-JLG Loans: Strong growth of 30.3% YoY to ₹11,042 Cr — retail, SME & secured lending gaining share.
- Total Deposits: Stable at ₹21,447 Cr, up 11.8% YoY; QoQ flat.
- CASA Deposits: Up 17.3% YoY to ₹4,471 Cr; CASA ratio improves to 20.9% (vs 19.6% YoY).
- CASA + Retail Term Deposit Share: Rises to 78% (vs 68.4% YoY) — healthy deposit mix.
- Liquidity Coverage Ratio: Comfortable at 219%.
- INTERGLOBE , SPICEJET: Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) reviews airfare trends ahead of festive season rush
- Proactively asks airlines to augment flight capacities by deploying additional flights
- In response, airlines informed that they are adding the following additional flights:-
- IndiGo: Deployment of approx. 730 additional flights across 42 sectors
- AirIndia & AirIndia Express: Deployment of approx. 486 additional flights across 20 sectors
- SpiceJet: Deployment of approx. 546 additional flights across 38 sectors
- JPMORGAN ON AVENUE SUPERMARTS
- MAINTAIN NEUTRAL
- TARGET PRICE: ₹4,350
- Q2 Rev Growth Of 15% Το Weigh On Near-term Stock Performance
- Revenue Growth Is 2% Below Street Expectations
- Pace Of Store Expansion Has Stayed Steady
- BERNSTEIN ON HDFC BANK
- (CMP: ₹965.15)
- MAINTAIN OUTPERFORM
- TARGET PRICE: ₹1,150
- Strong Loan Growth & Weak Deposit Growth In Q2
- Improvement In Loan Growth +ve In A Growth-starved Environment
- Weak Deposit Growth Could Help Margin In Q2
- CLSA on Nykaa Q2
- Nykaa expects consolidated net revenue growth to be in mid-twenties, with GMV growth close to thirties.
- This is ahead of our expectation of 25.1% consolidated GMCV growth but in line with our NSV growth assumption of 23.8%
- Fashion revenue growth of low twenties is also ahead of our expectation of 11.7%.
- We maintain our O-PF rating on Nykaa with an unchanged target price of Rs260.
- CLSA ON MARICO
- Maintains 'Underperform' With Target Price Of ₹490
- Q2 Update Reveals Price Driven Sales But Margin Pressure
- See Modest Operating Profit Growth, Significantly Below Expectation
- See Input Cost Led Gross Margin Contraction & Sustained A&P Spends
- JPMORGAN ON AVENUE SUPERMARTS
- MAINTAIN NEUTRAL
- TARGET PRICE: ₹4,350
- Q2 Rev Growth Of 15% Το Weigh On Near-term Stock Performance
- Revenue Growth Is 2% Below Street Expectations
- Pace Of Store Expansion Has Stayed Steady
- CITI ON AU SFB
- Gross advances rose 5.3% QoQ and 22.4% YoY, ahead of Citi's estimates
- AUM growth moderated to 4.5% QoQ and 17% YoY (vs Citi estimate of 16%)
- Absence of treasury gains and elevated credit costs expected to weigh on RoA
- Slippages seen moderating from elevated Q1 levels
- Citi estimates credit cost near 1.8%, with normalization likely in 2HFY26
- GS ON AVENUE SUPERMARTS
- MAINTAIN SELL
- TARGET PRICE: ₹3,370
- (Previous Target: ₹3,450)
- Weaker-than-expected Sales Growth Despite Low Base
- Standalone Sales Growth At 15.4% YoY
- No Meaningful Acceleration In Store Growth Yet
- Moderate FY26 Sales Growth Expectations To 18% From 20%
- FY26-28 EPS Estimates Are Cut By 2%
- MOSL ON MARICO
- Target Price: ₹850, Maintain Buy
- Revenue expected to rise 30% YoY, led by Parachute price hike amid copra inflation
- Parachute volumes may dip in low single digits, but ml-adjusted volumes remain flat after a 60% YoY price increase
- VAHO expected to grow 18% YoY (vs initial 10% YoY estimate)
- International business likely to rise 23% YoY in CC terms (vs initial 16% estimate)
- Saffola franchise projected to grow 24% YoY, in line with estimates
- Gross margin pressures expected to ease from H2FY26 onwards
- CITI ON PNB
- Gross advances grew 10.3% YoY and 3.6% QoQ, in line with Citi's estimates
- RAM segments expected to remain the key growth driver
- Deposits up 10.9% YoY and 1.7% QoQ, slightly below Citi's 2.7% QoQ estimate
- Citi builds in ~1% QoQ decline in NII and 6 bps QoQ fall in NIMS
- Credit cost expected at 25 bps in Q2, with RoA between 0.9-1%
- Management guidance: Loan growth 11-12%, Deposit growth 9-10%, NIM 2.8-2.9% for FY26
- CITI ON INTERGLOBE AVIATION
- Maintains BUY rating; revises Target Price to ₹7,100/share from ₹6,500 earlier
- TP of ₹7,100/share based on 2.8x FY27E (Mar'27E) EV/Sales
- 2.8x target multiple represents a 20% premium to IndiGo's 5-year average of ~2.3x
- Premium valuation reflects strong demand, healthy pricing, steady market share, and significant route expansion
- Goldman Sachs On Earnings
- Earnings sentiment firmed up heading into results
- Earnings sentiment for BSE 200 turned positive after 1 year
- This implies there were more upgrades than downgrades
- Across sectors, Energy, Consumer Discretionary and IT saw the strongest sentiment
- The earnings cycle that has been in a down-cycle over the past year may be at its bottom
- Earnings were upgraded in consumer discretionary (ex-autos), IT and commodity cyclicals over the past week
- CITI ON L&T FINANCE
- Retail disbursements (ex-gold loans) stood at ₹15,000 crore, up 12% QoQ and 18% YoY
- Retail AUM share improved to over 98%
- Citi building in 2.6% credit cost (post buffer utilization)
- Expects management to utilize ₹150-200 crore overlay buffer for incremental MFI stress
- MFI DPD trends likely to ease in Q2, with normalcy by Q3-Q4
- Opex growth expected to moderate further, aiding operating leverage
- CITI ON RBL BANK
- Advances grew 14% YoY and 6% QoQ, beating Citi's estimates
- Secured retail loans rose 29% YoY, while wholesale advances jumped 20% YoY, driving overall growth
- Citi expects core RoA >0.55%, with visibility toward >1% by Q4
- NIMs likely bottomed out in Q1, expected to inch pup in Q2
- Slippages projected to moderate to 3.6%, with credit cost near 1.8%
- IEX: Q2 FY26 POWER VOLUME UP 16% YOY AS LOWER PRICES BOOST MARKET LIQUIDITY
- Total power traded stood at 35,217 MU (ex-TRAS), up 16.1 percent YoY.
- Real-Time Market surged 39.1 percent YoY to 14,925 MU, contributing 37 percent of total volume.
- Green Market rose 17.7 percent YoY to 3,040 MU, while TRAS volumes jumped to 603 MU from 16.9 MU YoY.
- Average DAM price declined 12.5 percent YoY to ₹3.93 per unit, indicating improved supply conditions.
- @Beatthestreetnews
- PATEL RETAIL: APPOINTS SANJEEV KUMAR NIGAM AS CEO OF ‘INDIAN CHASKA’ BRAND
- Mr. Nigam brings over 24 years of FMCG experience across Rasna, Emami, Dabur, Keya Foods, and Cloud 9.
- He will lead Indian Chaska’s pan-India expansion and strengthen its position in the spices and QSR segment.
- Appointment effective October 5, 2025, following Patel Retail’s IPO listing in August 2025.
- @Beatthestreetnews
- KALYAN JEWELLERS: REPORTS ~30% REVENUE GROWTH IN Q2 FY26 ON STRONG FESTIVE AND WEDDING DEMAND
- India operations rose 31 percent YoY with ~16 percent same-store-sales growth.
- International revenue grew 17 percent YoY, led by 10 percent growth in the Middle East.
- Candere platform surged 127 percent YoY; 32 new showrooms opened during the quarter.
- Company also progressed on debt reduction and plans 15 new showrooms before Diwali.
- @Beatthestreetnews
- ANGEL ONE Q2 FY26 – BUSINESS UPDATE
- Angel One shows steady quarterly growth; client funding book & market share rise despite YoY softness in orders.
- Client base rose to 34.1 mn, +1.5% MoM / +24% YoY.
- Gross client acquisition: 0.55 mn (MoM +0.6%, YoY -42%).
- Avg client funding book: ₹55.5 bn (+4.9% MoM / +35.8% YoY).
- Orders: 127.6 mn (+16% MoM / -18.6% YoY).
- Overall ADTO (notional): ₹48.2 tn (+5% MoM / +0.5% YoY).
- Option premium turnover: ₹1.59 tn (+9.6% MoM / +76% YoY).
- Commodity ADTO: ₹1.39 tn (+10.6% MoM / +109% YoY).
- Cash ADTO: ₹76 bn (+9.8% MoM / -16% YoY).
- Market Share (Q2 FY26 vs Q1 FY26):
- Equity (F&O) – 21.7% (↑ 72 bps QoQ).
- Overall Equity – 20.5% (↑ 71 bps QoQ).
- Cash Turnover – 18.7% (↑ 72 bps QoQ).
- Commodity Turnover – 65.1% (↑ 815 bps QoQ).
- CUBE HIGHWAYS : LARGE TRADE NSE
- 360 ONE PRIME LIMITED BOUGHT 67.25 LKH SHARES @ ₹ 134 /SHARE
- 360 ONE REAL ASSETS ADVANTAGE FUND BOUGHT 74.75 LKH SHARES @ ₹ 134 /SHARE
- TRUALT BIOENERGY : DAY 1 LARGE TRADE NSE
- L7 HITECH PRIVATE LIMITED BOUGHT 5.36 LKH SHARES @ ₹ 538.83 /SHARE
- L7 SECURITIES PRIVATE LIMITED BOUGHT 7.85 LKH SHARES @ ₹ 532.62 /SHARE
- SINGULARITY EQUITY FUND I BOUGHT 4.75 LKH SHARES @ ₹ 533.80 /SHARE
- SAMMAAN CAPITAL : LARGE TRADE NSE
- BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS BOUGHT 58.97 LKH SHARES ( 0.71 % STAKE ) @ ₹ 164.42 /SHARE
- VEDANTA Q2 BIZ ; Aluminium Production Up 1% YoY & Up 2% QoQ At 617 kt
- Zinc Saleable Metal Production Down 6% YoY & Down 1% QoQ At 246 kt
- Zinc International Production Of 60 kt, Up 38% YoY & Up 6% QoQ
- Silver Production Down 22% YoY & Down 4% QoQ At 144 kt
- ETERNAL : LARGE TRADE NSE
- GOLDMAN SACHS BANK EUROPE SE - ODI SOLD 1.08 CR SHARES ( 0.12 % STAKES) @ ₹ 329 /SHARE
- BOFA SECURITIES EUROPE SA BOUGHT 1.08 CR SHARES ( 0.12 % STAKES ) @ ₹ 329 /SHARE
- JOHN COCKERILL INDIA : LARGE TRADE BSE
- RAMDOOT REALTORS PVT LTD BOUGHT 0.063 LKH SHARES ( 0.12 % STAKE ) @ ₹ 6481.80 /SHARE
- JUBILANT FOODWORKS – Q2 FY26 BUSINESS UPDATE ????????
- Revenue up 20% YoY; 93 new stores added, strong growth in India ops
- Consolidated revenue: ₹2,340 Cr (+19.7% YoY)
- Standalone revenue (India): ₹1,699 Cr (+15.8% YoY)
- Domino’s India LFL growth: +9.1%
- Domino’s Turkey LFL: +5.6%
- Total stores: 3,480 | Net addition: +93 (81 in India)
- JTL Industries : Co. Posts Highest-Ever H1 Volumes at 1.82 Lakh MT Despite Flood Impact ????
- Record Performance:
- H1 FY26 volumes at 1,82,210 MT, up 3.5% YoY vs 1,76,091 MT in H1 FY25 — highest ever for the company.
- Resilience Amid Floods:
- Operations at Derabassi and Mandi (Punjab) plants disrupted by 20–25% due to August–September floods, yet company maintained steady growth.
- Export Surge:
- Export share doubled to 12% in Q2 FY26 (from 6% in Q1 FY26) — reflecting global demand and superior product quality.
- Sector Tailwinds:
- Growth driven by strong structural steel demand, supported by infrastructure projects and private capex uptick.
- Capacity Strength:
- Total manufacturing capacity stands at 9.36 lakh MTPA, with 3 lakh MTPA in backward integration — ensuring cost efficiency and scale.
- Management Commentary:
- “Despite one-off disruption, performance remained strong; future growth metrics unaffected".
- FORTIS HEALTHCARE : SEBI APPROVAL FOR IHH OPEN OFFER
- SEBI clears IHH Healthcare’s open offer for Fortis & Fortis Malar — long-pending deal back on track.
- SEBI approval received (dated Oct 1 2025) for IHH Healthcare’s open offer to acquire:
- 26.1% stake in Fortis Healthcare Ltd (≈197 mn shares)
- 26.1% stake in Fortis Malar Hospitals Ltd (≈4.9 mn shares)
- IHH had earlier subscribed to 235.3 mn shares of Fortis via preferential allotment.
- The approval resolves a 7-year regulatory overhang since 2018, when the deal was frozen pending legal clearance.
- Fortis to update exchanges as further developments occur.
- Impact:
- Positive: Clears a major regulatory hurdle, boosts investor confidence, likely triggers valuation re-rating.
- Neutral: Actual tender/open-offer price details awaited.
- POONAWALLA FINCORP — Q2FY26 BUSINESS UPDATE
- AUM: ₹47,625 Cr, +67.7% YoY / +15.4% QoQ
- Liquidity: ₹6,200 Cr as of Sep 30, 2025
- Focus: Continues “risk-first” approach with strong risk systems & diversified asset base
- Outlook: Aims for long-term sustainable & profitable growth
- TATA CHEMICALS, TATA INVESTMENT; Govt to take stock of Tata tensions; ministers to meet group leaders over infighting, Tata Sons' listing plans - PTI
- MUTHOOT, MANAPPURAM ,CSB BANK ; GOLD HITS $ 3900 MARK FOR 1ST TIME
- ETERNAL : LARGE TRADE
- 81 Lk Shares Change Hands In A Pre-Market Large Trade
- ADITYA BIRLA LIFESTYLE : LARGE TRADE
- 7.3 Cr Shares Change Hands In A Pre-Market Large Trade
- PB FINTECH, INSURANCE; Significant rise in customer enquiries & insurance policy sales in the first week after GST changes - CNBCTV18
- Policybazaar Data (Between September 22–28, 2025, YoY)
- -61% rise in insyrance enquiries
- -56% rise in average daily leads
- September Insurance business data expected to be strong
- JUBILANT FOODWORKS Q2 BIZ ; DOMINOS LFL GROWTH OF 9.1 % IN Q2 V 2.8 % GROWTH LAST YEAR... V 11.6 % GTOWTH IN LAST QUARTER
- NIFTY TO OPEN 22 PTS GAP UP OPENING
- TANFAC IND ; Tanfac Industries Limited Announces Successful Commissioning of its second phase of 5,000 TPA (AHF Basis) High Purity Solar Grade DHF Plant
- BANK OF MAHARASHTRA Q2 BIZ
- Global Business: Rises 14.2% YoY to ₹5.64 lakh crore as of Sept 30, 2025.
- Total Deposits: Grow 12.1% YoY to ₹3.10 lakh crore.
- CASA Deposits: Up 14.6% YoY to ₹1.56 lakh crore; CASA ratio improves to 50.35% from 49.29%.
- Global Advances: Surge 16.9% YoY to ₹2.54 lakh crore, led by strong growth in:
- Retail Advances: +37.4% YoY
- Corporate Advances: +16.6% YoY
- CD Ratio: Improved to 82.05% (vs 78.72% last year), reflecting stronger credit growth.
- HOSPITAL STOCKS : Centre revises rate structure for nearly 2,000 medical procedures
- CGHS hospitals must accept new rates by Oct 13
- YATHARTH ; The Central Government Health Scheme (CGHS) rate hike, effective October 13, 2025, is projected to increase procedure rates by an average of 25–30%.
- This first major revision since 2014 is expected to boost private hospitals' revenue by around 2.5% and EBITDA by approximately 10%
- AB LIFESTYLE SURGE 9 % AFTER BLOCK DEAL
- Motilal Oswal upgrades Max Financial to BUY, Target Rs 2,000
- (25% potential upside)
- MAX Financials (MAXF) | UPGRADE TO BUY | TP ₹2,000
- AXIS MAX LIFE is outgrowing the industry with 15% APE & 32% VNB growth led by strong banca traction and a scaling agency engine
- Axis Max Life product mix tilted toward high-margin non-par & protection (now 56% of APE) driving VNB margin expansion (+260bps YoY)
- Structural catalyst – the reverse merger with Max Life could unlock synergies, simplify structure & trigger a valuation re-rating.
- - Expect industry-beating APE/VNB CAGR of 18%/21% (FY25–28)