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August 14, 2025
- Daily Morning Report Date: 14.08.2025
- NIFTY OUTLOOK: 24619.35 FII: -3644.43 Cr DII: 5623.79 Cr
- As discussed yesterday, market behaviour remained on expected lines. At the open, Nifty was resisted near 24600 and slipped to our support of 24543 (low of 24535) before taking a U-turn and advancing towards 24653, making a high of 24664.65.
- A small bullish candlestick on the daily chart suggests volatility and indecision in direction. For the upside, above 24673 bulls may target 24727–24751, then 24781, with potential to test 24835 if demand strengthens.
- On the downside, 24565–24511 remain immediate supports; a break below may drag Nifty to 24457–24403.
- BANK NIFTY OUTLOOK
- SPOT: 55181.45 PCR: 0.70 Max CE OI: 57000 Max PE OI: 57000
- On August 13th, 2025, Bank Nifty closed at 55181.45 (+137 / +0.25%). The index moved 313.10 points during the session, making a high of 55340.05 and a low of 55026.95.
- Technical View:
- Support & Resistance: 54820–54780 (zone) and 55900.
- Intraday S/R: 55000 and 55580.
- Strategy:
- • Go long above 55270, SL 55240, Target 55350.
- • Go short below 55090, SL 55120, Target 55010.
- RSI: 39.40 (Below 30 = oversold, above 70 = overbought).
- Bank nifty Day SMA Analysis:
- Bank nifty is trading above 3 out of 8 SMA’s (100, 150, 200 Day).
- Bank nifty is trading below 5 out of 8 SMA’s. (5, 10, 20, 30, 50 Day)
- No active candlestick Pattern was identified in bank nifty.
- Macros:
- 1. Dollar index @ 97.66
- 2. S&P Vix @ 14.47 (-1.70%)
- 3. Brent Crude @ 65.64
- 4.10 Years bond yield @ 4.238
- Note:
- Rate cut expectations are now stronger than before, with the likelihood of a Federal Reserve cut in September seen near 100% after fresh data showed U.S. inflation rising at a moderate pace in July. Treasury Secretary Scott Besant indicated that an aggressive 50-basis-point cut is possible given recent weak employment numbers.
- On Wednesday, Trump said he has narrowed his choice for the next Federal Reserve Chair to two or three candidates and will announce the name “a little bit earlier.”
- On the domestic front, India’s retail inflation slowed to an 8-year low of 1.55% in July, driven largely by falling food prices, especially vegetables and pulses, which have impacted farmers’ incomes. Core inflation rose from 4% to 4.4–4.5%, a mix that supports progressive growth.
- Now, the focus shifts to the upcoming Russia–U.S. meeting and its outcome, along with the U.S. official visit to India. We need to stay cautious and closely track developments over the next week.
- Contributed by
- Ashok bhandari : INH000019549
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- Money Control on PG Electroplast (PGEL): Inventory overhang casts a shadow
- AC sales surged 70% in April and 19% in May, but June and July witnessed order cancellations.
- As a result, the company is now holding substantial AC inventory, primarily in raw materials, worth Rs 1,300 crore.
- The total inventory across the entire supply chain, including OEMs, dealers, and distributors, is estimated to be around 4 to 4.5 million units.
- The planned AC compressor JV is now slated for FY27, instead of FY26 as stated earlier, pending approvals from its Chinese partner.
- We advise investors to remain on the sidelines as we expect FY26 to be a washout year for the entire AC industry, with inventory liquidation likely to squeeze margins and hurt profitability for at least the next six months
- GMR Airports
- Awarded contract to develop and operate Cargo City at Delhi airport with Rs.415.74 Cr minimum guarantee till 2036.
- @beatthestreet10
- Sterling & Wilson
- SWREL emerged L1 for 245 MW AC solar EPC order in Gujarat from PSU developer.
- @beatthestreet10
